How the Government's closure may end

adminJanuary 11, 2019




WASHINGTON: Somehow, an unfortunate death between President Donald Trump and Congress Democrats who shuttered federal agencies for a close record 20 days will end. The only real questions are when, how and who will be crowned winner in public polls and ultimately by voters.

Things got worse this week when house star Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., Told Trump at a fierce White House meeting that Democrats wouldn't bow to his demand for $ 5.7 billion to start building a wall along the border with Mexico . Trump hit his hand at the negotiating table and stormed out, the Democrats said. Trump said he quietly left the room and said, "Goodbye."

A look at how impasse can be solved:

Question: What is the easiest solution?

A: No one is easy. Trump's conservative base strongly supports its struggle for money, even though it has meant a partial public closure. The Democrats' liberal stalwarts are equally reluctant to give in. Trump and democratic leaders have been so insistent that they do not surrender that each would risk rebellion by supporters if they agree on something that is considered a surrender.

Question: What is the most likely way out?

A: Sometimes some people think it might be for Trump to declare a national emergency. By law, it could give him authority to spend money on the military's budget for construction projects for the wall.

It is a tactic that lets each side claim a partial victory and continue.

Trump could argue that he secured money for the wall, his most memorable campaign promise, and overwhelmed democratic objections. Democrats could say they did not give in, and they could filter to block the movement, claiming that Trump had exceeded his authority by stretching the importance of the emergency. Trump could decide to finally sign bills that reopened the government.

After leaving the White House on Thursday to visit the southwestern border, Trump suggested strongly that he would take that route. "I absolutely have the right to declare a national emergency," he told reporters. He added, "If I must, I want. I have no doubt about that."

Question: Why not just do it?

A: Many people on both sides hate the idea, and the legality in this case is questionable.

Some Republicans, including Texas Rep. Mac Thornberry, the Supreme Republican of the Assembly Service Committee, says that strengthening the border infrastructure is not the military's job, and they oppose siphoning defense money for that purpose. Many Republicans are concerned that Trump is opening the door to a future democratic president by circumventing lawmakers in a way that the GOP will oppose by reaching out to the definition of "emergency".

Democrats would consider the move a new example of Trump abusing his authority as president. They say it would be a trick to bypass Congress and that there is no emergency on the border, where the number of illegal crossings has fallen in recent years.

While the law does not clearly define a national emergency, some experts say a statement here would be unjustified.

"The idea was that the executive would get these powers on a limited basis for real emergencies," said Andrew Boyle, studying the Presidency's emergency forces at the Brennan Justice Center, affiliated with New York University. He said it was "clear in bad faith" to declare a national emergency at the border.

Question: Polls show that the public owes Trump more than Democrats for the closure. Will the Republicans fold?

A: Some GOP legislators have had enough, especially in the Senate. As a reflection, a group of GOP senators have talked to Senate leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., And White House officials to form a compromise, though it seems like an uphill battle.

Finally, McConnell, a tough partisan who is also known to end previous battles by cutting bipartisan deals, will determine the GOP path. It will take more than some Republican mistakes for McConnell to leave Trump.

Ever since Trump turned around and turned off a deal to avoid the shutdown before Christmas, McConnell has stepped aside and said that Trump and Democrats should bargain.

Democrats have tried to squeeze McConnell and quote his past about ridicule and reveal the damage the current inflicted on voters. With hundreds of thousands of federal workers due to missing their first paycheck Friday and constituents complaining about losing government services, the pressure will only intensify.

"I think public feelings that weigh in on their members" will change, says spokesman Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., In a brief interview. "He is a legislator."

"He's watching, he's waiting," retired Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, R-Miss said.

Question: What about Democrats?

A: They have not shown any signs of divisions. About anything, Trump's recent actions – which left Wednesday's negotiation session, seemingly blamed Democrats for the recent deaths of two Guatemalan children in US detention – united them more.

"Democrats' reaction varies from angry to furious," Rep. Gerald Connolly, D-Va.

Question: Is it a deal to be had?

A: It still seems unlikely. Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., And other Republicans have explored a compromise that may include border pension money plus helping hundreds of thousands of young immigrants arriving in the United States illegally when children live in that country. But Vice President Mike Pence and Graham reported no progress after a meeting on Thursday.

Democrats know that an agreement with Trump could alienate liberals, and is willing to show Trump that they would break into future confrontations.

They also don't trust him. Pelosi said that Trump has moved the target positions so often that "very soon these goals will not even be at the stadium."



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