by Brad Brevet
November 29, 2018
After last weekend's monster performance, led by Disney's Ralph Breaks the Internet and MGM is Creed II, this weekend just looks a new big release in Screen Gems newest horror The possession of Hannah Grace, which means that the story will remain with last weekend's top titles as 2018 continues its tough pace.
Having delivered the second largest five-day Thanksgiving weekend opening, is Disney Ralph Breaks the Internet Looking at a second weekend at # 1 and a domestic gross to be completed at or near $ 120 million comes the end of the day Sunday. Right now we expect another weekend, drop just around -54% for a sophomore frame in total $ 26 million.
MGM Creed II could meet some competition for others in Universal and Illumination Grinch, but we expect it to edge out the animated title with a drop of just around -50% for one $ 18 million Second weekend and a domestic cume just around $ 82 million comes the end of the weekend. The truth of the matter is, this is hard to predict. Creed IIdebut was the biggest Thanksgiving weekend opening ever for a live action title, topped the first film's five-day performance by ~ $ 14 million. To that point Creed dropped -49% in its second weekend, but it played better throughout the week compared with the sequel, although it could also be attributed to a weaker amount of competing titles back in November 2015.
As before Grinch, we are looking for a -43% decline and $ 17.3 million This weekend after it lasted quite well last weekend in the face of Ralphhis debut. Should our forecast keep, the film will increase $ 200 million by country at the end of the weekend and enter the top 10 of the year.
Continues down the line, WB Amazing animals: Grindelwald's crimes should land fourth in $ 15 million or so for a domestic cume around $ 138 million by the end of the weekend. Of course, this means that it stays well behind the first movie, which peaked $ 183 million at the end of its third Sunday in the release.
Rounding off the top five is Fox Bohemian Rhapsody, which included the best team among holdovers in the top ten last weekend * when it fell only -12.7%. This weekend we are looking for a drop of around -45% and a fifth weekend experience right around $ 7.75 million, which would push the film's gross domestic product over 163 million dollars, our forecast should last.
Outside the top five is where we find Screen Gems release of The possession of Hannah Grace. The R nominal film is set to debut in 2,065 theater with the studio which assumes a three-day performance of around 3 million dollars, compared to movies like Incarnate ($ 2.5m opening), The Green Inferno ($ 3.5m opening) and Unfriended: Dark Web ($ 3.6m opening).
To this point, IMDb displays pageview data Hannah Grace pacing a little in front Unsane ($ 3.76m opening) over the two weeks leading up to release as well as in front of Sonys friend to Incarnate. However, the same data shows the pacing of the film well behind Foxs Morgan, which opened with a bad $ 2 million back in 2016. All told, we are looking at a debut that can come out of the studio's expectations, getting around 2.8 million dollars, it fights for the ninth and tenth place this weekend, leading to a short-term theatrical race.
In limited release, Warner Bros. debut Head full of honey in four places; IFC will release DriverX into two theaters; and Orion will open Anna and Apocalypse in five theaters.
Meanwhile, Fox Searchlight will expand the release of Yorgos Lanthimos& # 39; s favorite after the survey was $ 105,603 per theater average this weekend from just four theaters. This weekend extends the film to seven additional markets – San Francisco, Dallas, Austin, Washington DC, Boston, Chicago and Phoenix – played in a total of 34 locations.
This weekend is the forecast is directly below. This post will be updated Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday Estimates on Saturday morning and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.
- Ralph Breaks the Internet (4,017 theaters) – $ 25.9 M
- Creed II (3,576 theaters) – $ 18.1 M
- Dr. Seuss & # 39; The Grinch (3,793 theaters) – $ 17.3 M
- Amazing animals: Grindelwald's crimes (3,929 theaters) – $ 15.6m
- Bohemian Rhapsody (3,007 theaters) – $ 7.7 M
- Instant family (3 110 theaters) – $ 6.5 M
- Robin Hood (2827 theaters) – $ 4.3 M
- widows (2,393 theaters) – $ 4.2 M
- Green book (1,065 theaters) – $ 2.8m
- The possession of Hannah Grace (2,065 theaters) – $ 2.8m
* Exclusive Green bookexpansion performance
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